Estimating the effect of discretionary spending on corruption: evidence from Brazilian municipalities

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2012-10-16

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Biderman, Ciro

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This paper analyzes the relationship between corruption and discretion of public spending in answering to the following research question: tighter procurement rules, as a proxy to discretion in spending, result in lower prevalence of corruption in Brazilian municipalities. The empirical strategy conducted here draws from a two-stage least squares (2SLS) regression approach locally estimated in each cutoff of procurement categories. Corruption data is drawn from the CGU's audit program and discretion categories from Bill 8.666/93, which regulates all procurement processes for purchases of goods/services and public works in all government levels. Results show, however, that lower discretion is associated with higher corruption prevalence to most cutoffs of Bill 8.666/93 in both purchases and works subgroups.

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