Análise e extração das expectativas dos agentes de mercado em torno da data do COPOM
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2014-05-30
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Vicente, José Valentim Machado
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This paper explores an important concept developed by Breeden & Litzenberger in which extract information contained in interest options in the Brazilian IDI Option market. It will be demonstrated the IDI Option Behavior under the Securities, Commodities and Futures Exchange (BM & FBOVESPA) before and after the Central Bank Meetings on the Selic Rate. The method involved determines the probability distribution through the prices of options after calculating the implied volatility surface IDI. It uses two common techniques on the market: Cubic Spline interpolation and Black (1976).